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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Pan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)65% (4437–2347, n=6784)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.2M$23K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #87was PM monthly #979PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)61% (17 of 28 open)58% (79 of 137 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—4% (won 100% of 45)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—13% (won 100% of 163)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—26% (won 100% of 329)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—58% (won 100% of 737)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Pan9Xprimm
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $33KUnder $2—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
—Arsenal FC $18KHull City AFC $2—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Magda Linette $6.5KAnastasia Zakharova $18—
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.7KOver $69—
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.3KOver $14—
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SV 07 Elversberg
—BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $551SV 07 Elversberg $17—
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $241Over $10—
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $21KMaple Leafs $20—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $20KOver $61—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hull City AFC
—Hull City AFC $12KHull City AFC $7—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12KUnder $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $5.7KCarlos Alcaraz $31—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $52—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $52—
Taranto: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Kilian Feldbausch
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $834Carlo Alberto Caniato $53—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $528Robin Montgomery $8—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $246Under $15—
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
same side · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
—FC Bayern München $188FC Bayern München $29—