Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)43% (10–13, n=23)68% (5536–2598, n=8134)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$3.3M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #8was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)70% (23 of 33 open)no open consensus position59% (47 of 80 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 329)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 737)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677Pan9X
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3KUnder $802—Over $38
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96Buccaneers $26—Bears $110
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12KBears $27K—Bears $170
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Bills $114K——Vikings $18
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
opposite sides · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $91K—Jessica Pegula $28
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
opposite sides · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $65K—Sebastian Dominko $24
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $23K—Clippers $44
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $19K—Over $74
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.6K—Over $87
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.8K—Under $10
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Under $47
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $295—Buccaneers $51
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $22—No $20
Penguins vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Ducks
—Ducks $34K—Ducks $394
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $28K—Celtics $111
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $52
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $55
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $148—No $243
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $115—Under $17