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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)57% (10818–8158, n=18976)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$19K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87was PM monthly #979PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)64% (7 of 11 open)69% (41 of 59 open)59% (17 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)4% (won 100% of 45)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)13% (won 100% of 163)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)26% (won 100% of 329)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)58% (won 100% of 737)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Pan9XRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $55Over $1.7K
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
—USC Trojans $1.1KUSC Trojans $193USC Trojans $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $52Over $360
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Bills $136K—Vikings $21—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $69No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $46Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $39Under $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $106Over $36
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $59Yes $60
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $22No $20—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $26K—Janice Tjen $16K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $38—Keisuke Saitoh $13K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $300Over $3.0K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $10Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $63Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $116No $524
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $148No $243—
Missouri State Bears vs. Wyoming Cowboys (W)
same side · consensus Missouri State Bears
——Missouri State Bears $5Missouri State Bears $248
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
same side · consensus Edward Winter
—Alafia Ayeni $70—Alafia Ayeni $128
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $81Yes $7
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)
same side · consensus Duke Blue Devils
——Duke Blue Devils $29Duke Blue Devils $43
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
same side · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
—Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $17—