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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpplusti
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11377–14474, n=25851)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)55% (17–14, n=31)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M$11K
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #87PM monthly #10was PM monthly #883
Sides with the consensus80% (40 of 50 open)65% (45 of 69 open)76% (188 of 248 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 403)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—16% (won 38% of 228)27% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—15% (won 62% of 214)73% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—40% (won 94% of 553)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpplusti
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KCowboys $13KColts $190—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $35KOver $2.6KUnder $2
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $219KOver $39K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $166KCowboys $3.6K——
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $125KYes $5.2K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $107KEagles $30——
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $33KCommanders $221—
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $19KCommanders $14K——
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $31KDolphins $165—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21KJets $9.9K——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $19KOver $398—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Virginia Cavaliers $19KArkansas Razorbacks $209—
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $213Under $16K—
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Freiburg
—SC Freiburg $1.5K1. FC Union Berlin $7.2K—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Kings $5.2KHeat $304—
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.1KUnder $883—
Knoxville: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Karl Poling
opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Karl Poling $45Filip Jeff Planinsek $2.9K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151Yes $2.7K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $345Over $2.0K—
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Getafe CF
—Villarreal CF $187Getafe CF $1.2K—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $84—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $949Under $286—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $45576ers $592—
FK Kharkiv vs. FK Karpaty Lviv: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $513Under $46
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus RED Canids Academy
—BESTIA Academy $21RED Canids Academy $7—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $632K—No $64K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $65KGiants $9.2K——
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $33KChiefs $5.1K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $22KColts $15K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $7.1KOver $899—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5KOver $2.7K—
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sønderjyske Fodbold
—Sønderjyske Fodbold $880Sønderjyske Fodbold $2.2K—
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
—Justin Boulais $5Justin Boulais $1.7K—
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
—Panthers $1.5KPanthers $30—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Schalke 04
—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $776TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $632—
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group C
same side · consensus MASONIC
—MASONIC $895MASONIC $15—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $113Under $285—