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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NagastaBagambi | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 55% (13382–10751, n=24133) | 40% (23–34, n=57) | 51% (28353–27352, n=55705) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $1.4M | $19K | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 64% (75 of 117 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (46 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 96% of 25 at avg 35¢, ROI +65% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 36% (won 100% of 9) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 56% (won 93% of 14) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 8% (won 100% of 2) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 0% | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NagastaBagambi | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.8K | — | No $14K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Under $5.2K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $752 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $686 | — | No $929 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $67 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $328 | — | Yes $6 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $118 | — | Over $54 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $32 | — | No $62 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Under $12 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | — | Under $20K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | — | No $2.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | No $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $872 | — | Under $2.0K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | No $118 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $153 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $768 | — | Yes $260 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $412 | — | Under $606 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $872 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $956 | — | Over $7 |
| FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $161 | — | Over $215 |
| Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | No $40 | — | No $200 |
| Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | — | No $185 | — | No $35 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $112 | — | Yes $79 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $175 | — | CD Pamplona $8 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $112 | — | Yes $52 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $78 | — | Yes $60 |
| UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $49 | — | Over $5 |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | No $7 | — | No $23 |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $18 | — | No $6 |