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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpLFOA95RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)100% (1–0, n=1)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$15K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13was PM monthly #979PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)72% (310 of 430 open)no open consensus position48% (47 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1 at avg 42¢, ROI +58%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)100% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)0%35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpLFOA95RN1
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC
—Leeds United FC $20K—Tottenham Hotspur FC $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $9.5K—Over $1.1K
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.8K—Yes $92
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $8.4K—Olle Wallin $13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6K—Over $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.7K—Yes $51
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5K—Under $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Over $9
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $333
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $360
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.4K—Under $112
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $139
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $113
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
—Tottenham Hotspur FC $629—Leeds United FC $1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Damir Dzumhur
—Damir Dzumhur $325—Inaki Montes $169
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $474—Yes $4
Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $342—Yes $1
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $275—Yes $27
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $226—Yes $4
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $109—Yes $5
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
—Leeds United FC $39—Tottenham Hotspur FC $18
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $71K—No $18K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34K—Under $7.4K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $28K—No $11K
Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $12K
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $1.6K—Noma Noha Akugue $16K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-1.5)
same side · consensus Holstein Kiel
—Holstein Kiel $7.6K—Holstein Kiel $988
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0K—Under $1.9K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.1K—Under $397
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $1.3K—Matteo Martineau $4.3K
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5K—No $1.5K
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $3.0K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4K—No $504
Will Persijap Jepara win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $1.7K
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $533—No $2.9K
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $455—No $2.8K
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.0K—Yes $94
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.1K—Under $15
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $530—No $1.6K