Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpLFOA95RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)100% (1–0, n=1)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.6M$15K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11was PM monthly #979PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)74% (226 of 307 open)no open consensus position54% (79 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1 at avg 42¢, ROI +58%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)0%10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)100% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)0%35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

58 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpLFOA95RN1
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $15K—Yes $45
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Over $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.9K—Over $3
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8K—Over $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.6K—Under $19
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $3
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.7K—No $877
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $63—Yes $1.4K
Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $7
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2K—Over $43
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Over $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $915—Under $9
Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $908—Under $1
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $315—Under $464
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48—Over $727
Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $680—Yes $6
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $211—No $436
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $425—No $210
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
—Facundo Acosta $558—Marco Cecchinato $9
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sevilla FC
—Sevilla FC $420—Deportivo Alavés $2
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $369—Yes $5
Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Roda JC Kerkrade
—Roda JC Kerkrade $92—Heracles Almelo $265
Dijon Football Côte d'Or vs. Red Star FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $158—Over $42
Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $51—Over $126
Will Almere City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $103—Yes $41
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $103—Yes $1
Spread: SK Rapid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Rapid
—Wolfsberger AC $49—SK Rapid $25
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $11—No $15
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $16K—Yes $14K
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $13K—No $3.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Coventry City FC
—Everton FC $14K—Everton FC $995
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.4K—Over $7.8K
Will CA Unión win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2K—No $9.4K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.5K—Over $1.8K
Exact Score: Everton FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.6K—No $1.4K
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
—Everton FC $8.6K—Everton FC $2.2K
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.8K—No $3.4K
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.7K—No $617
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.2K—Under $161
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5K—No $2.0K
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.2K—Yes $1.3K