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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlackMamba08 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (99–119, n=218) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $4.1M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #847 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 31% (16 of 51 open) | 68% (113 of 167 open) | 74% (112 of 152 open) | 67% (22 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 39% of 54 at avg 23¢, ROI +11% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 63% (won 21% of 34) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 67% of 12) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 67% of 6) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 2) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BlackMamba08 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | No $119K | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | — | Alexandra Eala $6.8K | — | Claire Liu $12K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | — | Yes $326 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $13 | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2 | Yes $814 | — | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $362 | No $328 | — | — |
| Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $400 | No $176 | — | — |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $6 | Yes $561 | — | — |
| Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $244 | No $109 | — | — |
| Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | No $282 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7 | Under $117 | — | — |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | No $92 | — | — |
| Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | No $80 | — | — |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $36 | No $7 | — | — |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $12 | No $18 | — | — |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-15? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | No $8 | — | — |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $53K | — | No $2.2K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $18K | — | No $7.5K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.7K | No $18K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego | — | Lorenzo Sonego $1.3K | — | Lorenzo Sonego $15K |
| Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.7K | — | No $2.7K |
| SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.6K | — | Under $9 |
| FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | — | Under $514 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $228 | No $38 | — | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | No $4 | No $234 | — | — |
| Will CD Pamplona win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $92 | No $72 | — | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $28 | No $115 | — |
| Will CD Tarancón win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $4 | No $101 | — | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |
| FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $19 | Under $12 | — | — |