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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (268–306, n=574) | 52% (6555–6124, n=12679) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.9K | $3.7M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 73% (335 of 456 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 55% (57 of 104 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC | — | Leeds United FC $20K | — | Tottenham Hotspur FC $24 |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $14K | — | No $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $11K | — | Yes $98 |
| Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.2K | — | Over $4.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | — | Over $2.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.7K | — | Yes $22 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $1 |
| Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | — | Over $16 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.1K | — | Over $8 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | Yes $303 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $292 |
| Will VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.5K | — | No $7 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $80 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $116 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $20 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $6 |
| Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.0K | — | Over $159 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC | — | Tottenham Hotspur FC $634 | — | Leeds United FC $2 |
| Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $463 | — | Yes $103 |
| Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $529 | — | Yes $4 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes opposite sides · consensus Damir Dzumhur | — | Damir Dzumhur $332 | — | Inaki Montes $169 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $477 | — | Yes $4 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Will Ayutthaya United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $89 | — | Yes $108 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $108 | — | Yes $8 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Leeds United FC O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $110 | — | Under $4 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $20 | — | Yes $33 |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC | — | Leeds United FC $39 | — | Tottenham Hotspur FC $9 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $82K | — | No $23K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $34K | — | Under $7.3K |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $28K | — | No $11K |
| Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $17K | — | No $12K |
| Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue | — | Noma Noha Akugue $1.8K | — | Noma Noha Akugue $22K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.6K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.4K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.3K |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.8K | — | Under $5.6K |
| Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-1.5) same side · consensus Holstein Kiel | — | Holstein Kiel $8.0K | — | Holstein Kiel $988 |
| Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.4K | — | No $1.5K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.0K | — | Under $1.9K |
| Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau same side · consensus Matteo Martineau | — | Matteo Martineau $1.5K | — | Matteo Martineau $5.2K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.1K | — | Under $401 |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 3 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $3.1K |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $5.4K | — | No $535 |