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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
76marshFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)82% (23–5, n=28)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$40K$3.7M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #538PM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #36 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (181 of 255 open)no open consensus position57% (56 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 63¢, ROI +44%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 100% of 7)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 7)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 100% of 9)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market76marshFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Bayern München
—1. FSV Mainz 05 $11K—FC Bayern München $1.8K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
—Ben Shelton $3.9K—Luca Van Assche $7.4K
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.2K—Yes $470
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $981—Yes $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Under $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $272—No $1.9K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $368—Under $1.7K
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $67—Over $1.8K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $57—Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $711—Under $1
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $15—Under $282
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151—Yes $38
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $83—Under $88
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $140
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $136—Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $115—Under $11
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19—Yes $50
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $8
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $117K—No $32K
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $53K—No $4.4K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $46K—Yes $9.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.5K—No $8.7K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.4K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $9.2K
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.1K—No $25
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $8.7K—Yes $224
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.3K—No $2.6K
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9K—No $513
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.7K—Under $661
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Magda Linette $49—Magda Linette $3.7K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hull City AFC
—Hull City AFC $2.3K—Hull City AFC $1.4K
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $612—No $1.7K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $948
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.0K—Under $14
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $338—No $1.3K
Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $124—No $1.5K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $46
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2K—Yes $94
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $967—Yes $166