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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mqwwFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)72% (200–78, n=278)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$24K$4.1M$14.9M$3.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #16PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #60
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (83 of 118 open)62% (37 of 60 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won94% of 288 at avg 69¢, ROI +22%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 4)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 58% of 24)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 96% of 117)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 143)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmqwwFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Pelicans vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $4.2KClippers $35KPelicans $7.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.9KOver $106—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 240.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.0KOver $84—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $106Clippers $1.0K—
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Heat $64Kings $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $587Keisuke Saitoh $24K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Clippers $8.5KClippers $1.8K—
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
—Sam Ryan Ziegann $797Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K—
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $2.9KKings $854—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.1KUnder $570—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.7KUnder $570—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.7KOver $256—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.9KOver $931—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KUnder $91—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.5KClippers $819—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KOver $204—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $256Pelicans $540—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $26—