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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)82% (5571–1226, n=6797)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$20K$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #353PM monthly #17PM monthly #51PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)63% (145 of 229 open)67% (2 of 3 open)62% (96 of 156 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=368Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won88% of 6116 at avg 55¢, ROI +31%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 74% of 314)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 81% of 2458)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 93% of 2192)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 99% of 1152)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816FlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
—Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220—Hawks $426
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $444Ball State $18—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $31—Wizards $89
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $40K—No $6.5K
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $3.0K—Renata Zarazua $18K
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
—Marcos Giron $3.6K—Marcos Giron $14K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.3K—Under $7.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14K—Yes $378
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $13K—Yes $104
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2K—No $3.4K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.5K—Under $1.4K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
same side · consensus Max Wiskandt
—Hiroki Sakagawa $915—Hiroki Sakagawa $674
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Filip Jeff Planinsek $26—Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $776—76ers $240
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $713—Yes $250
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $720—Over $165
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286—Solana Sierra $476
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $383—Raptors $124
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $40—Under $371
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $172—Under $120
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Timberwolves $122—Timberwolves $126
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $215—Wizards $21
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10—Yes $162
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8—Over $87
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $73—Over $19
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $28