Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 82% (5549–1220, n=6769) · PM monthly #276 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$19.0K
Record
5549W / 1220L
Win Rate
82.0%
of 6769 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#398
Source
PM monthly #276
Record (90 d)
5346/5891 · 91%
Trades
1,427
Markets
7,279
Volume
$1.5M
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?No $260 · now 65¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (82% of 11)
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?No $164 · now 55¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (67% of 51)
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?Yes $87 · now 29¢ · in at 32¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
6,116 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 55¢- NBA
+49 pts
side won 100% of 239 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +49%
- College Football
+48 pts
side won 100% of 383 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +48%
- NHL
+49 pts
side won 100% of 73 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +49%
Weakest: Crypto — held side won 45% of 368 at an average 49¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI −4%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 74% of 314)
- 30–50¢: 40%(won 81% of 2458)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 93% of 2192)
- 70¢ and up: 19%(won 99% of 1152)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.