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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2823–1176, n=3999)52% (590–548, n=1138)53% (529–468, n=997)
Consensus PnL$0$529K$400K$639K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (122 of 235 open)70% (63 of 90 open)57% (25 of 44 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won—41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 531)2% (won 100% of 6)12% (won 44% of 90)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 38% of 315)32% (won 100% of 100)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 61% of 150)60% (won 100% of 189)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 94% of 320)7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $3.3KSaints $19KPanthers $238
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $2.0KColts $3
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $7.7KPepperdine Waves $140K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Browns $3.2KTexans $8.1K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KPackers $2.4K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1649ers $8.3K—
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $6.0KPackers $6
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Rams $5.4KCardinals $199
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.3KUnder $1.1K
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $1.6K—Oklahoma $494
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $31Under $1.7K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $75Mavericks $200—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Lions $32Patriots $170
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620Seahawks $20K—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $2.6KChiefs $12K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KPatriots $6.0K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $2.5KBrowns $1.2K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $356Rockets $2.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $159Mavericks $2.4K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $205Suns $1.9K—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $489
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $392—Otto Virtanen $1
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $321Rockets $72
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
—Creighton Bluejays $51Creighton Bluejays $300—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $41Under $270—