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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5890–5273, n=11163)51% (786–768, n=1554)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M-$9.4K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #22was PM monthly #789PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (122 of 179 open)63% (25 of 40 open)45% (15 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)55% (won 100% of 201)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $941
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.4KNo $92—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $927—Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $7
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4K—No $1.5K
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus RB Leipzig
—RB Leipzig $2.6KManchester City FC $154—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
opposite sides · consensus Yujia Huang
——Sohyun Park $13Yujia Huang $2.1K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.5KNo $9—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
—Aoi Ito $92—Katie Swan $281
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus AEK
—AEK $306Real Madrid CF $12—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $232No $29—
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $61Yes $188—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $124Under $9—
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Alisa Oktiabreva $54—Antonia Stoyanov $19
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39K—Under $45
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.9K—No $1.6K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $1.5KJuan Bautista Torres $1.9K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115—No $3.3K
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $1.1K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2KNo $95—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $44—No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379—No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $788Under $2—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $318No $463—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $559No $8—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $459Over $56—
Spread: PSV (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Brugge KV
—PSV $376PSV $25—
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester City FC
—RB Leipzig $98RB Leipzig $250—
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $99No $227—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $33Over $293—
W35 Hamamatsu: Himari Sato vs Mio Mushika
same side · consensus Himari Sato
—Mio Mushika $185—Mio Mushika $127
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117—Yes $162
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
—Yuzuha Negishi $169—Yuzuha Negishi $105
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $226Over $16—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $163No $14—
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)
same side · consensus RB Leipzig
—RB Leipzig $13RB Leipzig $157—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $121Under $11—
Spread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)
same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha
—SK Slavia Praha $107SK Slavia Praha $3—
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $30No $57—
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
same side · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
——Jia-Jing Lu $8Jia-Jing Lu $55
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
same side · consensus Tom Gentzsch
—Tom Gentzsch $4Tom Gentzsch $29—
Luanda: Diana Martynov vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Diana Martynov
—Diana Martynov $12Diana Martynov $5—