Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188bbcvvcbvFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)86% (18–3, n=21)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)53% (481–419, n=900)
Consensus PnL$856K$23K$501K$363K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #854PM monthly #13PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)47% (81 of 172 open)64% (147 of 229 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢0%—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188bbcvvcbvFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Mavericks $13KCavaliers $6.5K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $358Under $8.1K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
——Georgia State $2Georgia Southern $6.8K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Mavericks $10Cavaliers $5.0K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——Arkansas $637South Carolina $258
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
——San Francisco Dons $33Portland State Vikings $337
South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4Under $286
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
——Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $153
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
——Colorado Buffaloes $229Providence Friars $3
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $108Under $65
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
——San Francisco Dons $42Portland State Vikings $52
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $2Nets $11
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $18K
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
——Kansas $7Kansas $14K
Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves
——Charleston Southern Buccaneers $6.8KCharleston Southern Buccaneers $3.6K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $84Under $4.1K
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $135Cavaliers $3.8K
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $241Cavaliers $3.3K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $75Cavaliers $2.1K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
——Texas Tech $374Texas Tech $1.1K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $81Under $766
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7Under $702
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $38Under $632
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
——Blackhawks $295Blackhawks $121
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $181Mavericks $115
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $21Under $229
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $56Under $112