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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465a17367162806FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)98% (292–6, n=298)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$8.9M-$150K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #392PM monthly #21PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)no open consensus position64% (222 of 346 open)65% (117 of 179 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 240 at avg 52¢, ROI +30%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)1% (won 100% of 3)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)45% (won 98% of 107)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)49% (won 100% of 117)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)5% (won 100% of 13)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465a17367162806FlaznorpRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $13K—Alex de Minaur $7.4KTomas Etcheverry $56K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $4.0KNo $223
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
——Janice Tjen $4.7KJoanna Garland $5.3K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $6.1KNo $3.3K
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Franco Agamenone
——Franco Agamenone $218Ignacio Monzon $5.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.1KOver $37
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $317No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $863Yes $265
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $210No $663
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $223Hawks $406
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $353——Under $31
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
——Tena Lukas $2Pia Lovric $250
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Suns $125Trail Blazers $99
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $26No $23
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
——Lorenzo Musetti $20KLorenzo Musetti $53K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $39KUnder $45
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Olympiakós SFP $17KOlympiakós SFP $109
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
——Novak Djokovic $4.0KNovak Djokovic $9.8K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $5.1KOver $7.8K
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $3.0KMatej Dodig $9.6K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $9.2KYes $393
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7.7KUnder $1.5K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.1KNo $1.5K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.1KUnder $576
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $727—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $42No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $78476ers $243
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
——Henri Haupt $868Henri Haupt $54
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
same side · consensus Iliyan Radulov
——Iliyan Radulov $139Iliyan Radulov $612
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $720Under $20
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $645Under $56
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $505Over $164
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Ignacio Parisca
——Ignacio Parisca $320Ignacio Parisca $302
W75 Petange: Julia Avdeeva vs Lisa Zaar
same side · consensus Julia Avdeeva
——Julia Avdeeva $450Julia Avdeeva $25
W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk
same side · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez
——Carlota Martinez Cirez $381Carlota Martinez Cirez $42
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
——Tomas Curras Abasolo $17Tomas Curras Abasolo $319
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $167Under $121
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $39Under $243
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $185——Over $82
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Wizards $218Wizards $22