Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Ignacio Monzon — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Ignacio Monzon
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
Resolved Ignacio Monzon. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Ignacio Monzon. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Ignacio Monzon 50%
2 arb excluded
$52.6K
$-6.5K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 27 top traders (52%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PA Paul973973 | Ignacio Monzonavg 97.4¢ | $22.0K | $22.6K | +$576.97 | 89% 990-125 (1115) |
PV pvc975 | Ignacio Monzonavg 99.9¢ | $14.2K | $14.2K | +$14.2 | 98% 14727-327 (15054) |
 RN1 | Ignacio Monzonavg 49.5¢ | $7.5K | $9.9K | +$2.4K | 53% 60059-52427 (112486) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Franco Agamenoneavg 55.3¢ | $3.6K | — | $-3.6K | 51% 1093-1042 (2135) |
LI LightParadox | Ignacio Monzonavg 55.2¢ | $2.2K | $2.3K | +$93.51 | 52% 1146-1041 (2187) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Ignacio Monzonavg 24.9¢ | $697.96 | $2.5K | +$1.8K | 46% 1391-1643 (3034) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Franco Agamenoneavg 45.3¢ | $3.7K | — | $-1.7K | 48% 59237-63255 (122492) |
LI LimousinCTR | Franco Agamenoneavg 80.6¢ | $2.3K | — | $-2.3K | 54% 1189-1028 (2217) |
VE VenusianCTR | Franco Agamenoneavg 71.4¢ | $4.6K | — | $-4.6K | 52% 1158-1077 (2235) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Franco Agamenoneavg 53.6¢ | $414.95 | — | -$414.95 | 51% 24219-22949 (47168) |
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100 | Franco Agamenoneavg 69.6¢ | $892.1 | $417.66 | -$126.55 | 52% 736-673 (1409) |
| └ Ignacio Monzon leg | Ignacio Monzonavg 28.1¢ | $117.22 | $417.66 | +$304.82 | |
| └ Franco Agamenone leg | Franco Agamenoneavg 69.6¢ | $404.66 | — | -$431.37 | |
TH thestingsnake | Ignacio Monzonavg 30.6¢ | $519.33 | $522.97 | +$340.73 | 60% 4348-2912 (7260) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Franco Agamenoneavg 84.4¢ | $438.53 | — | -$438.53 | 59% 31860-22491 (54351) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Franco Agamenoneavg 62.4¢ | $226.1 | $244.64 | +$18.54 | 52% 14224-12997 (27221) |
| └ Ignacio Monzon leg | Ignacio Monzonavg 30¢ | $73.43 | $244.64 | +$171.21 | |
| └ Franco Agamenone leg | Franco Agamenoneavg 62.4¢ | $152.67 | — | -$152.67 | |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Franco Agamenoneavg 34.1¢ | $164.76 | — | -$164.76 | 50% 20734-20980 (41714) |
 TRCMCTR<$100 | Franco Agamenoneavg 57.8¢ | $23.13 | — | -$23.13 | 55% 4028-3248 (7276) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Franco Agamenoneavg 76¢ | $22.04 | — | -$18.65 | 58% 45427-32914 (78341) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100 | Franco Agamenoneavg 51¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 82% 7015-1513 (8528) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Ignacio Monzonavg 85.6¢ | $7.45 | $5 | -$2.45 | 51% 6277-6028 (12305) |
 nigiri99<$100 | Ignacio Monzonavg 21¢ | $3.57 | $17 | +$13.35 | 46% 8408-9878 (18286) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Franco Agamenoneavg 76¢ | $3.8 | — | -$3.8 | 52% 8576-7821 (16397) |
AN AnonymousUsername<$100 | Ignacio Monzonavg 23¢ | $1.98 | $8.6 | +$6.62 | 71% 7114-2861 (9975) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100 | Ignacio Monzonavg 9¢ | $0.45 | $5 | +$4.55 | 65% 5171-2807 (7978) |
DV dv-pm<$100 | Ignacio Monzonavg 24¢ | $1.2 | $5 | +$3.8 | 49% 3293-3423 (6716) |
SC SchruteBucks<$100 | Ignacio Monzonavg 42.8¢ | $24.57 | $2.07 | +$0.71 | 56% 1924-1490 (3414) |
Invested
$22,029
Value
$22.6K
PnL
+$576.97
Record
89%
990-125 (1115)
Invested
$14,183.66
Value
$14.2K
PnL
+$14.2
Record
98%
14727-327 (15054)
RN1Invested
$7,500.01
Value
$9.9K
PnL
+$2.4K
Record
53%
60059-52427 (112486)
Invested
$3,561.06
Value
—
PnL
$-3.6K
Record
51%
1093-1042 (2135)
Invested
$2,158.85
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$93.51
Record
52%
1146-1041 (2187)
Invested
$697.96
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$1.8K
Record
46%
1391-1643 (3034)
Invested
$3,653.93
Value
—
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
48%
59237-63255 (122492)
Invested
$2,267.54
Value
—
PnL
$-2.3K
Record
54%
1189-1028 (2217)
Invested
$4,628
Value
—
PnL
$-4.6K
Record
52%
1158-1077 (2235)
Invested
$414.95
Value
—
PnL
-$414.95
Record
51%
24219-22949 (47168)
Invested
$892.1
Value
$417.66
PnL
-$126.55
Record
52%
736-673 (1409)
Both legs:
Invested
$519.33
Value
$522.97
PnL
+$340.73
Record
60%
4348-2912 (7260)
Invested
$438.53
Value
—
PnL
-$438.53
Record
59%
31860-22491 (54351)
Invested
$226.1
Value
$244.64
PnL
+$18.54
Record
52%
14224-12997 (27221)
Both legs:
Invested
$164.76
Value
—
PnL
-$164.76
Record
50%
20734-20980 (41714)
TRCMCTR<$100Invested
$23.13
Value
—
PnL
-$23.13
Record
55%
4028-3248 (7276)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$22.04
Value
—
PnL
-$18.65
Record
58%
45427-32914 (78341)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
82%
7015-1513 (8528)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$7.45
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.45
Record
51%
6277-6028 (12305)
nigiri99<$100Invested
$3.57
Value
$17
PnL
+$13.35
Record
46%
8408-9878 (18286)
Invested
$3.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.8
Record
52%
8576-7821 (16397)
Invested
$1.98
Value
$8.6
PnL
+$6.62
Record
71%
7114-2861 (9975)
Invested
$0.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.55
Record
65%
5171-2807 (7978)
Invested
$1.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.8
Record
49%
3293-3423 (6716)
Invested
$24.57
Value
$2.07
PnL
+$0.71
Record
56%
1924-1490 (3414)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Paul973973
Ignacio Monzon — $22.6K
pvc975
Ignacio Monzon — $14.2K
RN1
Ignacio Monzon — $9.9K
MadridTime
CTRFranco Agamenone — $0
LightParadox
Ignacio Monzon — $2.3K
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Ignacio Monzon — $2.5K
38791873984189
CTRFranco Agamenone — $0
Limousin
CTRFranco Agamenone — $0
Venusian
CTRFranco Agamenone — $0
Flaznorp
CTRFranco Agamenone — $0