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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | no settled market | 50% (19560–19625, n=39185) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | — | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #618 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (17 of 24 open) | 62% (235 of 382 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (80 of 119 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 50% of 2 at avg 29¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 0% | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 0% | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $315 | — | No $26K |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Fenerbahçe SK | Liverpool FC $4.4K | Fenerbahçe SK $20K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Under $5.2K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $420 | — | Under $762 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $720 | — | Over $5 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $495 | — | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $436 | Bucks $251 | — | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | — | Athletic Club $347 |
| Will KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $337 | — | Yes $84 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $10 | — | No $288 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $23 | — | Yes $273 |
| Will FCV Dender EH win on 2026-10-23? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $78 | — | No $129 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $111 | — | Yes $3 |
| Spread: Levante UD (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Levante UD | — | CD Tarancón $11 | — | Levante UD $86 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $42 | — | Yes $36 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Under $12 |
| Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $42 |
| CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $24 | — | Under $4 |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $268K | No $144K | — | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $265K | No $113K | — | — |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $24K | Over $36K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev | Daniil Medvedev $31K | Daniil Medvedev $5.5K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $21K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $15K | — | — |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $18K | Over $7.2K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | — | No $16K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $155 | Under $8.6K | — | — |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet same side · consensus Laura Samson | Laura Samson $5.4K | Laura Samson $2.5K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Under $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | No $2.6K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | No $1.2K |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | No $727 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.1K | — | Yes $161 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | — | Under $931 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $311 | — | Under $416 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $705 | — | Over $5 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $251 | Under $40 | — | — |
| CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $14 | — | Yes $175 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $21 | — | No $61 |
| SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $27 | — | Under $5 |