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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 20% (9–35, n=44) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$60K | $3.3M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (148 of 231 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (98 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 109 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 40% of 30) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 70% of 47) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | — | Maxwell McKennon $823 | — | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | — | Over $268 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | — | No $677 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $220 | — | Hawks $426 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Thunder $273 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $215 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | — | Over $86 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Hawks $31 | — | Wizards $89 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $40K | — | No $6.5K |
| Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua same side · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | Renata Zarazua $3.0K | — | Renata Zarazua $18K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $9.3K | — | Under $7.5K |
| Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais same side · consensus Marcos Giron | — | Marcos Giron $3.3K | — | Marcos Giron $13K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $14K | — | Yes $378 |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $13K | — | Yes $104 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.2K | — | No $3.4K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.5K | — | Under $1.4K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt same side · consensus Max Wiskandt | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $1.0K | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $730 |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | No $257 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $42 | — | No $1.3K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $75 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $776 | — | 76ers $240 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $713 | — | Yes $250 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $720 | — | Over $165 |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | Solana Sierra $286 | — | Solana Sierra $476 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $720 | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $383 | — | Raptors $124 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $40 | — | Under $371 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $172 | — | Under $120 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $239 | — | Under $46 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | Timberwolves $122 | — | Timberwolves $126 |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | Wizards $215 | — | Wizards $21 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $10 | — | Yes $162 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $8 | — | Over $87 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $73 | — | Over $19 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Over $28 |