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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
auros2ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)78% (38–11, n=49)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL$11K-$9.4M$3.2M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #268was PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus62% (150 of 242 open)57% (4 of 7 open)no open consensus position71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketauros2ferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7——No $82K
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $17——Yes $65K
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $95——No $675
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $202——Yes $491
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $247——No $291
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $166——Yes $258
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $48——Yes $359
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $228——Yes $171
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $273——Yes $35
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $221——No $47
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $237——No $3
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $236——No $3
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $49——No $75
Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $109——Yes $5
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $25——No $39
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $36——Yes $23
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30——No $7
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $52——No $351K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $166——Yes $12K
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $33——No $7.2K
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21——Yes $5.5K
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $14——No $4.3K
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $128——No $2.7K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $142
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
No $599——No $408
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $659
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9——Yes $571
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $16——Yes $560
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $208——Yes $307
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $257——Yes $191
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $407——No $3
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $20——Yes $365
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $80——No $287
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21——Yes $343
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $188——Yes $143
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $268——No $5
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $115——Yes $52
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
No $110——No $3
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
Yes $64——Yes $41
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $54——Yes $20
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $44——Yes $28
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
Yes $43——Yes $4
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
same side · consensus Yes
No $21——No $15