← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | shineforeverr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 48% (501–539, n=1040) | 55% (392–321, n=713) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | $462K | $426K | $318 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #251 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (82 of 123 open) | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 43% (29 of 68 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 14% (won 37% of 79) | 25% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 68) | 36% (won 100% of 120) | 24% (won 59% of 138) | 50% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 127) | 50% (won 100% of 166) | 43% (won 72% of 243) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 24) | 19% (won 98% of 107) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | shineforeverr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $41 | Hurricanes $34K | Kraken $51 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | Over $3.4K | Under $200 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | UConn $2.1K | — | James Madison $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | — | USC $2 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $1.5K | — | Vanderbilt $983 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $2.4K | — | Mavericks $90 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.7K | — | Nets $13 | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | Mississippi State $392 | — | Auburn $370 | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | Alabama $62 | — | Vanderbilt $13 | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | Indiana $6.4K | — | Indiana $911 | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | Kennesaw State $2.2K | — | Kennesaw State $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.3K | — | Browns $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt $2.1K | — | Vanderbilt $542 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K | — |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | — | Under $5 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $1.1K | — | Heat $46 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | — | Colts $3 | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6 | — | Over $870 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | South Carolina $263 | — | South Carolina $542 | — |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | BYU $297 | — | BYU $355 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $459 | — | Pelicans $96 | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | Texas A&M $23 | — | Texas A&M $524 | — |