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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | hortikkk | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (590–548, n=1138) | 67% (6–3, n=9) | 48% (670–739, n=1409) | 53% (529–468, n=997) |
| Consensus PnL | $400K | $526 | $885K | $636K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #883 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (50 of 76 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 54% (22 of 41 open) | 50% (20 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 6) | — | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 12% (won 44% of 90) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 100) | — | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 189) | — | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 22) | — | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | hortikkk | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $7.9K | — | Vikings $14K | Packers $2.4K |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $5.4K | — | Rams $4.9K | Cardinals $199 |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | Patriots $6.1K | — | Patriots $19K | Patriots $6.0K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $2.4K | — | Browns $19K | Browns $1.2K |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | Oregon Ducks $7.5K | — | — | Pepperdine Waves $150K |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $6.8K | — | Packers $15K | — |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Saints $20K | — | — | Panthers $238 |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $3.2K | — | — | Texans $8.4K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $5.8K | — | — | Packers $6 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $185 | — | Jazz $4.7K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.8K | — | Under $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $252 | — | Clippers $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Lions $32 | — | — | Patriots $172 |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | 76ers $18 | — | Pacers $121 | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $20K | — | Seahawks $19K | — |
| Bills vs. Jets same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $33K | Bills $3.5K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $2.6K | — | — | Chiefs $12K |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $2.3K | — | Cowboys $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $2.4K | — | Mavericks $533 | — |
| Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.2K | Over $446 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $2.0K | — | — | Colts $3 |
| Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | — | Under $489 |
| Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | — | Otto Virtanen $904 | Otto Virtanen $1 |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $324 | — | — | Rockets $73 |