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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorppau1og1RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)29% (2–5, n=7)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$19K$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #568PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus69% (99 of 144 open)no open consensus position54% (39 of 72 open)66% (41 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%29% of 7 at avg 48¢, ROI −7%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)57% (won 25% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)43% (won 33% of 3)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppau1og1RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4KUnder $67
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $29Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1KUnder $872
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41Under $801
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $121—Seahawks $3.8K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $752
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K—No $174—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $686——No $929
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Lakers $758—Pistons $307—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $499—Nets $144—
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
FK Kolos Kovalivka $217——FK Polissia $270
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $36—Richmond Spiders $268—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280——Yes $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $138——Yes $2
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6—Under $2—
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $58K—No $3.5K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $9.7K—Coco Gauff $49K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $6.1K—Lakers $84—
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K—No $2.8K—
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
Richmond Spiders $3.7K—Richmond Spiders $674—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $3.2K—Lakers $569—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $3.1K—Lakers $588—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $1.2K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $117
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack $894—Nevada Wolf Pack $472—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $884—Mavericks $228—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $319——Under $718
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $367——Under $606
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $689——Yes $282
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $922——Over $7
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $316—Lakers $484—