Smart money holds the underdog side

Most tracked traders hold Saint Mary's Gaels, while the market favors Nevada Wolf Pack (59%). 6 of 10 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.

Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

5 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Saint Mary's Gaels (50%) · $1K held · ended Nov 8

Saint Marys Gaels42¢Nevada Wolf Pack58¢Ended Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔄

Contrarian

Saint Mary's Gaels

Consensus Traders

Saint Mary's Gaels 50%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

-$53.58

Smart Money Signal

Saint Mary's Gaels

5 of 10 top traders (50%)Underdog side (market favors Nevada Wolf Pack 59%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Saint Marys Gaels42%

Nevada Wolf Pack59%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Nevada Wolf Pack4 traders

Total Value$653.28

Total Shares991

Combined PnL+$143.86

Saint Mary's Gaels5 traders

Total Value$469.15

Total Shares1,569

Combined PnL-$194.79

Saint Marys Gaels1 trader

Total Value$50.41

Total Shares106

Combined PnL-$2.65

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Nevada Wolf Packavg 42.9¢	$385.38	$496.98	+$111.6	51% 47280-44570 (91850)
0xheavy888	Saint Mary's Gaelsavg 46.1¢	$320.76	$205.32	-$115.44	56% 8773-6961 (15734)
VE Venusian	Saint Mary's Gaelsavg 36.1¢	$126.52	$145.27	+$18.75	47% 2177-2413 (4590)
38 38791873984189<$100	Nevada Wolf Packavg 46.8¢	$47.83	$79.76	+$31.93	48% 70290-75979 (146269)
nigiri99<$100	Nevada Wolf Packavg 52¢	$72.8	$73.5	+$0.7	45% 14433-17740 (32173)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Saint Mary's Gaelsavg 45.2¢	$107.31	$53.39	-$53.92	46% 2024-2378 (4402)
0X 0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9CTR<$100	Saint Marys Gaelsavg 50¢	$53.06	$50.41	-$2.65	48% 598-655 (1253)
LI LightParadox<$100	Saint Mary's Gaelsavg 29.1¢	$42.6	$37.36	-$5.24	47% 2124-2359 (4483)
MA MadridTime<$100	Saint Mary's Gaelsavg 48¢	$66.75	$27.81	-$38.94	47% 2130-2385 (4515)
PA Pan9X<$100	Nevada Wolf Packavg 52.8¢	$20.05	$3.04	-$0.37	52% 27270-24782 (52052)

Flaznorp

Nevada Wolf Pack

Invested

$385.38

Value

$496.98

PnL

+$111.6

Record

51%

47280-44570 (91850)

0xheavy888

Saint Mary's Gaels

Invested

$320.76

Value

$205.32

PnL

-$115.44

Record

56%

8773-6961 (15734)

Venusian

Saint Mary's Gaels

Invested

$126.52

Value

$145.27

PnL

+$18.75

Record

47%

2177-2413 (4590)

38791873984189<$100

Nevada Wolf Pack

Invested

$47.83

Value

$79.76

PnL

+$31.93

Record

48%

70290-75979 (146269)

nigiri99<$100

Nevada Wolf Pack

Invested

$72.8

Value

$73.5

PnL

+$0.7

Record

45%

14433-17740 (32173)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Saint Mary's Gaels

Invested

$107.31

Value

$53.39

PnL

-$53.92

Record

46%

2024-2378 (4402)

0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9CTR<$100

Saint Marys Gaels

Invested

$53.06

Value

$50.41

PnL

-$2.65

Record

48%

598-655 (1253)

LightParadox<$100

Saint Mary's Gaels

Invested

$42.6

Value

$37.36

PnL

-$5.24

Record

47%

2124-2359 (4483)

MadridTime<$100

Saint Mary's Gaels

Invested

$66.75

Value

$27.81

PnL

-$38.94

Record

47%

2130-2385 (4515)

Pan9X<$100

Nevada Wolf Pack

Invested

$20.05

Value

$3.04

PnL

-$0.37

Record

52%

27270-24782 (52052)

Smart Money Signal

Saint Mary's Gaels

5 of 10 top traders (50%)Underdog side (market favors Nevada Wolf Pack 59%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Saint Marys Gaels wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance43.7%

41.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$128.72

Max Loss

-$100.00

228.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.