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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpocr7primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)57% (1106–843, n=1949)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$83K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #787PM monthly #47PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (294 of 410 open)0% (0 of 1 open)75% (3 of 4 open)56% (45 of 81 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)28% (won 12% of 436)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)10% (won 38% of 160)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 75% of 225)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)47% (won 97% of 716)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpocr7primmRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
Mika Brunold $7.5K——Borna Gojo $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $5.7K——Olle Wallin $38
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $252
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.0K——Under $95
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $243——No $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K——Yes $216
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Will Korona Kielce win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $54——Yes $830
Korona Kielce vs. RKS Radomiak Radom: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $222——Under $613
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $362——Yes $152
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
Tottenham Hotspur FC $501——Leeds United FC $1
Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $342——Yes $2
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Inaki Montes
Damir Dzumhur $157——Inaki Montes $169
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $271——Yes $27
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141——Yes $4
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $109——Yes $8
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC
Leeds United FC $39——Tottenham Hotspur FC $46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $52K——No $12K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $28K——No $11K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $31K——Under $5.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.4K——Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.0K——Under $1.8K
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.2K——Yes $4.5K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.1K——Under $395
Will FK Termez Surkhon win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.0K——No $2.8K
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5K——Under $3.0K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
Matteo Martineau $591——Matteo Martineau $3.6K
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K——No $1.5K
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.7K——Over $26
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
same side · consensus No
No $491——No $3.1K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $2.8K——No $434
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $596——Noma Noha Akugue $2.2K
Will Persijap Jepara win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $1.2K
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9K——Under $270
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $800
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.8K——Under $8
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $295——No $1.3K
Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $14——No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $973——Under $3