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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99shineforeverr
Record (consensus markets)71% (2090–853, n=2943)48% (501–539, n=1040)55% (392–321, n=713)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$388K$462K$426K$318
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #21PM monthly #103PM monthly #251
Sides with the consensus51% (113 of 220 open)53% (10 of 19 open)43% (29 of 68 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 37% of 79)25% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)36% (won 100% of 120)24% (won 59% of 138)50% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 166)43% (won 72% of 243)0%
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 24)19% (won 98% of 107)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99shineforeverr
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $34KKraken $51—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3KUnder $15K——
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
Wales $2.1KNorway $15K——
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.5K—Yes $346—
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $952Under $4.7K——
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.5KDenmark $4.0K——
Monastir: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Kilian Feldbausch
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Pedro Vives Marcos $239Kilian Feldbausch $4.1K——
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.4KUnder $200—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.6K—Yes $1.3K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $909—Yes $374—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $21—Team Falcons $731—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $398—Over $11—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $108—Under $74—
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Virtus.pro
Virtus.pro $76BakS eSports $44——
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women
opposite sides · consensus Rwanda Women
Rwanda Women $12Uganda Women $37——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $1.1KTaylor Fritz $14K——
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.4K——
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $5—Georgia State $512—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $388—Heat $46—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Raffaele Ciurnelli
same side · consensus Raffaele Ciurnelli
Raffaele Ciurnelli $68Raffaele Ciurnelli $41——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $3—
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Biratnagar Kings
Lumbini Lions $15Lumbini Lions $26——
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs United Tigers
same side · consensus United Tigers
Royal Desert Champions $12Royal Desert Champions $8——
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $3—