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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | hqb.prediction | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | no settled market | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | — | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #962 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (101 of 149 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 57% (28 of 49 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | — | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | — | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | — | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | — | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | — | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | hqb.prediction | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Jazz $1.1K | — | — | Timberwolves $30K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Nets vs. Mavericks opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Nets $80 | — | — | Mavericks $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $859 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | — | — | No $153 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | — | Yes $315 |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $804 | — | — | Pistons $307 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners | North Dakota State Bison $107 | — | — | Bakersfield Roadrunners $398 |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Dominko | Sebastian Dominko $236 | — | — | Patrick Zahraj $159 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Nets $165 | — | — | Mavericks $199 |
| Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $239 | — | — | Under $106 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | — | No $11 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | — | — | Over $29 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $17K | — | — | Coco Gauff $58K |
| Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $58K | — | — | No $5.5K |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $9.2K | — | — | No $12K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Lakers $6.6K | — | — | Lakers $152 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Lakers $4.5K | — | — | Lakers $569 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $3.9K | — | — | Lakers $763 |
| Will Club Blooming win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | — | No $282 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $355 | — | — | Lakers $484 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $612 | — | — | Pistons $103 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Nets | Mavericks $303 | — | — | Mavericks $163 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | — | Under $41 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | — | No $26 |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun same side · consensus Kaylan Bigun | Giles Hussey $10 | — | — | Giles Hussey $20 |