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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2503–1011, n=3514) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 55% (430–355, n=785) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $488K | $2.4K | $344K | $386K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #137 | PM monthly #128 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (91 of 185 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 56% (101 of 181 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 26% (won 100% of 6) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $23K | — | Gen.G $6.2K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $310 | — | Nets $23K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $1.4K | — | Nets $19K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $146 | — | Nets $17K | — |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $454 | — | Yes $6.8K | — |
| Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $272 | — | Over $3.9K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $880 | — | Mavericks $122 | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | — | Oklahoma $516 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $94 | — | Timberwolves $545 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2 | — | Nets $544 | — |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | Blackhawks $134 | — | Jets $7 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Gen.G | — | Gen.G $45K | Gen.G $3.8K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $5.4K | — | Nets $33K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $420 | — | Heat $9.5K | — |
| Florida vs. Kentucky same side · consensus Kentucky | Florida $2.9K | — | Florida $6.7K | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $637 | — | Arkansas $12 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $374 | — | Texas Tech $177 | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia State $6 | — | Georgia State $544 | — |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus Kansas | Kansas $6 | — | Kansas $338 | — |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14? same side · consensus No | Yes $87 | — | Yes $102 | — |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D same side · consensus Froglings | 1win $3 | — | 1win $100 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Blackhawks | Jets $41 | — | Jets $52 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | — | Colts $3 | — |