Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHugolinoXavierprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)27% (10–27, n=37)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$9.4K$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #688PM monthly #47PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (103 of 148 open)no open consensus position80% (8 of 10 open)57% (36 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15Geopolitics −2 pts, n=10——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%36% of 33 at avg 28¢, ROI +10%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)55% (won 17% of 18)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)33% (won 55% of 11)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)9% (won 67% of 3)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)3% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHugolinoXavierprimmRN1
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $121—Seahawks $5.4KSeahawks $3.8K
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——49ers $90KRaiders $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
——Texans $11KChargers $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $598Seahawks $4.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——No $138
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $499——Nets $144
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $6——Richmond Spiders $271
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6——Over $29
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6——Under $2
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
——Packers $84KPackers $4.1K
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $38K——No $3.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Texans
——Texans $1.7KTexans $12K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Texans $2.7KTexans $7.2K
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.0K——No $3.7K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $5.1K——Lakers $38
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
Richmond Spiders $3.7K——Richmond Spiders $675
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $2.1K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $3.0K——Lakers $466
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $2.6K——Lakers $81
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612——Pistons $76
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $174——Lakers $466
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41
North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
Bakersfield Roadrunners $37——Bakersfield Roadrunners $150
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4——No $26