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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | tian888 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (1379–477, n=1856) | 54% (305–265, n=570) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $296K | $312K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #807 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (128 of 185 open) | 71% (105 of 148 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −3 pts, n=123 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 5% of 159) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 43% of 119) | 30% (won 100% of 49) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 61% of 70) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 95% of 142) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | tian888 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $10 | Over $7.0K | — |
| Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Mercer Bears | West Virginia Mountaineers $94 | Mercer Bears $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-25.5) opposite sides · consensus Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | Indiana Hoosiers $84 | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles $484 | — |
| Morgan State Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 162.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | Under $486 | — |
| Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys | Oklahoma State Cowboys $129 | Texas A&M Aggies $342 | — |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 141.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | Under $272 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $231 | Timberwolves $6 | — |
| Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions | Loyola Marymount Lions $3 | South Alabama Jaguars $197 | — |
| Spread: Sacred Heart Pioneers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | Central Connecticut State Blue Devils $76 | Sacred Heart Pioneers $61 | — |
| Spread: UTEP Miners (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico State Aggies | New Mexico State Aggies $67 | UTEP Miners $51 | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $61 | Over $3 | — |
| Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Rhode Island Rams | Rhode Island Rams $4 | Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks $15 | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $86 | Over $25K | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $183 | Under $8.7K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $6 | Vikings $6.5K | — |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 178.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $48 | Under $3.0K | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $268 | Pistons $2.4K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $542 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Spread: High Point Panthers (-23.5) same side · consensus High Point Panthers | High Point Panthers $445 | High Point Panthers $916 | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | Falcons $169 | Falcons $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-24.5) same side · consensus Indiana Hoosiers | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles $118 | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles $291 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $158 | Timberwolves $237 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-5.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $51 | Hornets $275 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $196 | Raptors $9 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-12.5) same side · consensus Raptors | 76ers $2 | 76ers $122 | — |
| Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-1.5) same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars | South Alabama Jaguars $60 | South Alabama Jaguars $35 | — |
| Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks same side · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners | Bakersfield Roadrunners $15 | Bakersfield Roadrunners $37 | — |
| Spread: Alabama A&M Bulldogs (-7.5) same side · consensus West Florida Argonauts | Alabama A&M Bulldogs $47 | Alabama A&M Bulldogs $4 | — |
| West Florida Argonauts vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs same side · consensus West Florida Argonauts | West Florida Argonauts $3 | West Florida Argonauts $10 | — |