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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DonghuiHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (446–384, n=830)48% (500–536, n=1036)55% (389–318, n=707)
Consensus PnL—$332K$464K$445K
Tracked asPM monthly #444PM monthly #9PM monthly #21PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)72% (80 of 111 open)58% (7 of 12 open)45% (30 of 66 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDonghuiHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $43Hurricanes $34KKraken $54
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $11K—MOUZ $1.1KSpirit $402
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KOver $3.4KUnder $200
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $1.1K
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2K—Under $2.4K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.1K—James Madison $1.3K
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Alabama $1.5K—Vanderbilt $983
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $2.4K—Mavericks $88
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5K—USC $2
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
—Mississippi State $393—Auburn $373
Games Total: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $206Over $19
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $62—Vanderbilt $13
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $6.4K—Indiana $911
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
—Kennesaw State $2.2K—Kennesaw State $1.3K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Browns $2.3K—Browns $1.1K
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $2.1K—Vanderbilt $542
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1K—Jaguars $1.3K
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7K—Under $5
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.1K—Heat $46
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $1.1K—Colts $3
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6—Over $851
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
—South Carolina $263—South Carolina $542
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
—BYU $302—BYU $362
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
—Texas A&M $23—Texas A&M $524
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $445—Pelicans $96