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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DavidShekelomnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)68% (373–174, n=547)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)50% (19558–19625, n=39183)
Consensus PnL$169K$3.0M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #372PM monthly #47PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)54% (83 of 155 open)57% (110 of 192 open)68% (80 of 117 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +21 pts n=92, ROI −12%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=256, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=17, ROI +36%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −7 pts, n=17———
Settled positions, side won77% of 543 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 19% of 129)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 74% of 31)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 90% of 86)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 99% of 297)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDavidShekelomnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.5KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.5KUnder $753
West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KUnder $721
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $3.9KHawks $678—
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $676No $2.9K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $268Under $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.6K
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $154
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3Under $1.9K
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $535Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $36
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10—No $1.2K
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu
—Maxwell McKennon $210Mauricio Echazu $1.0K—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $740Solana Sierra $476—
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $742Yes $155
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $686Under $9
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $689
Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $509Under $76
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $331Hawks $128—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $162No $288
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club
——Al Ahli Saudi Club $8Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $13Under $240
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $148Under $98
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4Under $161
OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $133No $20
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $134
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $124—
Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $84Yes $40
Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $76Under $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $28Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
same side · consensus Lautaro Midon
—Tomas Barrios $56Tomas Barrios $16K—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $896Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K—
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.6KNo $310
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-09-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $3.1K
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sevilla FC
——Sevilla FC $983Sevilla FC $3.4K
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $4.2KBrowns $65
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
same side · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
—Carlos Maria Zarate $21Carlos Maria Zarate $3.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—Yes $3.1K
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $23Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.5KUnder $841