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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankHomeRunHazardjuice-fruitsuntori
Record (consensus markets)53% (23–20, n=43)54% (233–198, n=431)100% (1–0, n=1)58% (501–362, n=863)
Consensus PnL$543K$261K$152K-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #31was PM monthly #792
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)70% (76 of 108 open)no open consensus position45% (100 of 224 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59%—
Entries under 30¢0%1% (won 100% of 1)0%—
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 31)100% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 100% of 9)57% (won 100% of 55)0%—
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardjuice-fruitsuntori
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Trail Blazers $563Thunder $5.2K—Thunder $7
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $111Thunder $4.4K—Trail Blazers $66
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $33KThunder $5.9K——
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $7.2K—Under $25
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.6K—Under $24
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5K—Under $5
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Warriors $90—Rockets $745
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $454—Over $10
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $37—Over $79
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Magic $3—Jazz $84
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $63—Over $15
Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22—Under $16
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2—Over $6
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Ciryl Gane
Ciryl Gane $325K——Ciryl Gane $852
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Rockets $30K—Rockets $3
Utah vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Golden Knights $14K—Golden Knights $16
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $10
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.3K—Under $54
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Magic $3.7K—Magic $41
Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Over $1.1K
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.2K—Over $16
Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Over $9
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $1.2K—Pistons $59
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
Uroš Medic $1.1K——Uroš Medic $94
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $905—Over $16
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $114—Thunder $22
Pacific Tigers vs. Long Beach State Beach
same side · consensus Pacific Tigers
—Long Beach State Beach $38—Long Beach State Beach $50
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Timberwolves $66—Timberwolves $7
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $20—Magic $51
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Thunder $9—Thunder $12