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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpstrider-UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)88% (72–10, n=82)50% (19558–19625, n=39183)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$45K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #16PM monthly #797PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)67% (192 of 288 open)no open consensus position68% (80 of 118 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)15% (won 25% of 12)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)7% (won 50% of 6)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)11% (won 78% of 9)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)67% (won 100% of 54)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpstrider-UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5—Under $5.2K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $762
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $990—Yes $4
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $720—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Athletic Club $347
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $517—CD Tenerife $45
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10—No $288
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23—Yes $273
Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—CD Tenerife $99—FC Andorra $191
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $111—Yes $3
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
—CD Tarancón $11—Levante UD $86
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $42—Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51—Under $12
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $42
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $24—Under $4
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $204KPistons $2.2K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $15K
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $8.6KCeltics $215——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Under $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $2.6K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $713—Under $2.7K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $954Pistons $1.3K——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $26
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $155
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $311—Under $416
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $277Jazz $4——
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66Hawks $193——
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14—Yes $175
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $21—No $61