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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 76% (28–9, n=37) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $190K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #410 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 64% (162 of 255 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 57% (110 of 192 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | Hawks $193 | — | Hawks $128 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $258K | — | Yes $5.4K | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $70K | Pelicans $36 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | — | — | Pelicans $121 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $6.1K | — | Yes $4.8K |
| Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.2K | — | Over $69 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $333 | — | Central Michigan $3.3K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.2K | — | No $163 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu | — | Maxwell McKennon $823 | — | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $977 | — | No $5 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | — | Over $268 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Thunder $273 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Hawks $237 | — | Wizards $98 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $215 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $160 | — | Under $131 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $27 | — | Kings $253 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | — | Over $86 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $105 | — | Over $84 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $32 | — | Pacers $139 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | 76ers $9 | — | Pistons $109 |
| Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $25 | — | Yes $63 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $204K | Pistons $2.8K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $69K | — | Yes $117K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $30K | Jazz $4 | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.7K | Celtics $215 | — | — |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.8K | — | No $2.6K |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.8K | — | No $292 |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $1.4K | — | Bianca Andreescu $3.2K |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | No $1.9K |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $3.5K | — | Under $10 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589 | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $2.7K | — | 76ers $240 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $954 | Pistons $1.3K | — | — |
| Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | — | No $42 |
| Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $742 | — | Yes $961 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $42 | — | No $1.3K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $75 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | — | Under $1.1K |