Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
Resolved Over. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Over 59%
3 arb excluded
$26.8K
$5.9K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 18 top traders (61%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA marvelousmarvin | Overavg 52.2¢ | $7.2K | $13.8K | +$6.6K | 55% 21-17 (38) |
HO HomeRunHazard | Overavg 47.3¢ | $4.7K | $8.0K | +$3.3K | 54% 18039-15168 (33207) |
AC AckbarCTR | Underavg 50.2¢ | $5.0K | — | $-5.0K | 49% 19-20 (39) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 63¢ | $751.3 | $705.29 | -$46 | 51% 24452-23135 (47587) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 38.8¢ | $273.51 | $705.29 | +$431.78 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 63¢ | $477.78 | — | -$477.78 | |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Overavg 53¢ | $610.67 | $1.2K | +$541.53 | 50% 4274-4238 (8512) |
 CUTJALENHURTS | Overavg 27.9¢ | $295.68 | $1.1K | +$762.32 | 52% 5953-5563 (11516) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Underavg 73¢ | $730 | — | -$730 | 56% 7920-6245 (14165) |
NM NM-P | Overavg 45.4¢ | $397.25 | $875 | +$477.75 | 40% 1398-2089 (3487) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Underavg 48.2¢ | $241.23 | — | -$241.23 | 59% 31932-22560 (54492) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Underavg 51.3¢ | $205.57 | $218.94 | +$13.37 | 48% 59434-63450 (122884) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 48.2¢ | $105.54 | $218.94 | +$113.4 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 51.3¢ | $107.56 | — | -$100.03 | |
HE HerdoniaARB<$100 | Underavg 52.4¢ | $222.66 | $126.25 | -$96.41 | 51% 3584-3513 (7097) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 52.4¢ | $162.38 | — | -$162.38 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 47.7¢ | $60.28 | $126.25 | +$65.97 | |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Overavg 46¢ | $184 | $400 | +$216 | 51% 1831-1762 (3593) |
 VeryLucky888 | Overavg 46.9¢ | $1.7K | $266.44 | +$173.79 | 58% 45573-32987 (78560) |
JU justaluckydude | Overavg 51.2¢ | $114.62 | $224 | +$109.38 | 53% 11880-10404 (22284) |
 RN1CTR | Underavg 52¢ | $130 | — | -$130 | 53% 60181-52537 (112718) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 53¢ | $54.59 | — | -$54.59 | 47% 11225-12583 (23808) |
3C 0x3ca9...424aCTR<$100 | Underavg 49¢ | $16.66 | — | -$16.66 | — |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Overavg 47¢ | $42 | $24.37 | +$9.99 | 58% 19680-14468 (34148) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Overavg 48¢ | $4.8 | $10 | +$5.2 | 52% 8633-7856 (16489) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 54¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 50% 25577-25281 (50858) |
 nigiri99<$100 | Overavg 49.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 8424-9994 (18418) |
Invested
$7,196.39
Value
$13.8K
PnL
+$6.6K
Record
55%
21-17 (38)
Invested
$4,709.24
Value
$8.0K
PnL
+$3.3K
Record
54%
18039-15168 (33207)
Invested
$5,024.95
Value
—
PnL
$-5.0K
Record
49%
19-20 (39)
Invested
$751.3
Value
$705.29
PnL
-$46
Record
51%
24452-23135 (47587)
Both legs:
Invested
$610.67
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$541.53
Record
50%
4274-4238 (8512)
CUTJALENHURTSInvested
$295.68
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$762.32
Record
52%
5953-5563 (11516)
Invested
$730
Value
—
PnL
-$730
Record
56%
7920-6245 (14165)
Invested
$397.25
Value
$875
PnL
+$477.75
Record
40%
1398-2089 (3487)
Invested
$241.23
Value
—
PnL
-$241.23
Record
59%
31932-22560 (54492)
Invested
$205.57
Value
$218.94
PnL
+$13.37
Record
48%
59434-63450 (122884)
Both legs:
Invested
$222.66
Value
$126.25
PnL
-$96.41
Record
51%
3584-3513 (7097)
Both legs:
Invested
$184
Value
$400
PnL
+$216
Record
51%
1831-1762 (3593)
VeryLucky888Invested
$1,689.78
Value
$266.44
PnL
+$173.79
Record
58%
45573-32987 (78560)
Invested
$114.62
Value
$224
PnL
+$109.38
Record
53%
11880-10404 (22284)
RN1CTRInvested
$130
Value
—
PnL
-$130
Record
53%
60181-52537 (112718)
Invested
$54.59
Value
—
PnL
-$54.59
Record
47%
11225-12583 (23808)
Invested
$16.66
Value
—
PnL
-$16.66
Record
—
Invested
$42
Value
$24.37
PnL
+$9.99
Record
58%
19680-14468 (34148)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.2
Record
52%
8633-7856 (16489)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
50%
25577-25281 (50858)
nigiri99<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
8424-9994 (18418)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
marvelousmarvin
Over — $13.8K
HomeRunHazard
Over — $8.0K
Ackbar
CTRUnder — $0
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
Over — $1.2K
CUTJALENHURTS
Over — $1.1K
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTRUnder — $0
NM-P
Over — $875
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRUnder — $0
38791873984189
ARBArbitrage — excluded