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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HBAFlover98 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 39% (193–304, n=497) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.7M | -$271K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | was PM monthly #838 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 68% (238 of 352 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 51% (27 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Esports −9 pts, n=99 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 39% of 550 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 30% (won 14% of 164) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 42% of 227) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 21% (won 59% of 118) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 7% (won 71% of 41) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HBAFlover98 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere | — | Noma Noha Akugue $589 | — | Sofya Lansere $24K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.7K | — | Yes $282 |
| Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | — | Anastasia Zakharova $391 | — | Magda Linette $4.6K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Janice Tjen $4.4K | — | Robin Montgomery $256 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.8K | — | No $2 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| FC Bayern München leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $40 | — | Yes $263 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig same side · consensus Jerome Kym | — | Jerome Kym $1.7K | — | Jerome Kym $19K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.6K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | — | Toby Samuel $1.2K | — | Toby Samuel $15K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.4K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.4K |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $11K | — | Under $1.4K |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.7K | — | Under $4.5K |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.4K | — | Yes $1.3K |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | — | Over $2.6K |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.2K | — | No $20 |
| Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.7K | — | No $74 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | — | Under $1.7K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes same side · consensus Inaki Montes | — | Inaki Montes $879 | — | Inaki Montes $1.3K |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.9K | — | Under $13 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov | — | Jurij Rodionov $371 | — | Jurij Rodionov $314 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $310 | — | Under $2 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $177 | — | Under $50 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $41 |
| RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $47 | — | Over $44 |
| Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 - 3 FC Bayern München? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $10 | — | Yes $7 |