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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bloodmaster2 | Flaznorp | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (13–8, n=21) | 71% (2547–1041, n=3588) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 54% (441–371, n=812) |
| Consensus PnL | -$76K | $493K | $328K | $325K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #707 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #148 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 44% (74 of 169 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (100 of 178 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22% | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 80% of 5) | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 82% of 11) | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bloodmaster2 | Flaznorp | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $6.2K | — | Nuggets $381 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $90 | — | Under $3.1K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $1.9K | — | Nuggets $106 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $1.8K | — | Mavericks $143 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $16 | — | Under $1.5K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $489 | — | Gen.G $394 |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $260 | — | Oklahoma $507 |
| Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $223 | — | Under $477 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $94 | — | Timberwolves $551 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $3 | — | Nets $579 |
| Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars | — | Providence Friars $405 | — | Colorado Buffaloes $159 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $293 | — | Nuggets $254 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $163 | — | Nuggets $10 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $1.3K | — | Nets $14K |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $431 | — | Heat $9.8K |
| Florida vs. Kentucky same side · consensus Kentucky | — | Florida $2.0K | — | Florida $4.6K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $111 | — | Bulls $844 |
| Baylor vs. BYU same side · consensus BYU | — | Baylor $307 | — | Baylor $544 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $637 | — | Arkansas $12 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | — | Texas Tech $374 | — | Texas Tech $177 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $398 | — | Under $6 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $91 | — | Under $66 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D same side · consensus Froglings | — | 1win $10 | — | 1win $104 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | — | Colts $3 |