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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ATCapital | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (304–264, n=568) | 54% (242–209, n=451) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $309K | $234K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #983 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #167 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (89 of 133 open) | 55% (71 of 129 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −17 pts, n=15 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 163 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 58% of 420 at avg 51¢, ROI −5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 27% of 67) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 29% (won 100% of 48) | 25% (won 46% of 104) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 45% (won 63% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 15% (won 97% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ATCapital | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $7.0K | Under $1.7K |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.6K | Over $1.3K |
| Kansas City Roos vs. George Mason Patriots opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots | — | Kansas City Roos $166 | George Mason Patriots $6.0K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Commanders $2.6K | Giants $1.9K |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | 76ers $4.0K | Raptors $131 |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.1K | Under $1.3K |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $884 | Under $2.2K |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Maple Leafs $482 | Wild $2.2K |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $809 | Over $1.4K |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $71 | Over $543 |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $69 | Mavericks $27 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $4.6K | Over $4.7K |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | Over $5.8K |
| Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $6.4K | Over $413 |
| Spread: Suns (-7.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $5.2K | Hornets $27 |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | Wizards $1.5K | Wizards $2.5K |
| Spread: Memphis (-4.5) same side · consensus Memphis | — | South Florida $7 | South Florida $3.9K |
| Spread: Pistons (-11.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | Wizards $1.8K | Wizards $1.4K |
| Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars same side · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions | — | South Alabama Jaguars $196 | South Alabama Jaguars $2.4K |
| Memphis vs. South Florida same side · consensus Memphis | — | Memphis $141 | Memphis $2.2K |
| Islanders vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | — | Islanders $48 | Islanders $2.1K |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt same side · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $42 | Alabama $1.2K |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | Under $95 |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $476 | Over $226 |
| Spread: Memphis (-3.5) same side · consensus Memphis | — | Memphis $53 | Memphis $461 |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $115 | Over $92 |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Colorado | — | Colorado $89 | Colorado $71 |
| Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $44 | Under $100 |