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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE528676bc13DbB685E903E5672F38D4323e59F0B-1779887413099FlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market72% (1945–745, n=2690)50% (6–6, n=12)54% (371–318, n=689)
Consensus PnL$0$410K$423K$398K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #15PM monthly #33PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (104 of 194 open)no open consensus position66% (96 of 145 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)0%1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)17% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)83% (won 100% of 5)59% (won 100% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)0%8% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE528676bc13DbB685E903E5672F38D4323e59F0B-1779887413099FlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.8K—Thunder $12K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $1.1K—Trail Blazers $376
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.2K—Warriors $1
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—Saint Mary's Gaels $773—UIC Flames $3
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $765—Over $8
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah State Aggies $130—California-San Diego Tritons $336
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $144—Clippers $198
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $284—Over $10
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13—Over $35
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.0K—Spurs $25K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $291—Thunder $22K
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $608—Spurs $15K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $8.6K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $862—Under $7.9K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $898—Under $6.0K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296—Vikings $6.5K
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $301—Spurs $5.5K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $2.8K—Trail Blazers $2.4K
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $387—Thunder $3.6K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Predators
—Predators $221—Predators $3.6K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $625—Clippers $1.7K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546—Seahawks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $169—Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $1.1K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $229—Kings $119
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $4—Warriors $173
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $20—Colorado $101