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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 55% (392–321, n=713) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $332K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #987 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (91 of 134 open) | 43% (29 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 37% of 79) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 68) | 24% (won 59% of 138) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 127) | 43% (won 72% of 243) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 15) | 19% (won 98% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.2K | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | UConn $2.1K | James Madison $1.3K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $3.1K | Nets $13 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Alabama $1.5K | Vanderbilt $983 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio State | — | Ohio State $450 | Northwestern $2.0K |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | — | Mississippi State $392 | Auburn $370 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $63 | Vanderbilt $13 |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $6.4K | Indiana $911 |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Kennesaw State | — | Kennesaw State $2.8K | Kennesaw State $1.3K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $2.3K | Browns $1.1K |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | Under $200 |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $2.1K | Vanderbilt $542 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.7K | Under $5 |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $1.1K | Heat $47 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $6 | Over $870 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $263 | South Carolina $542 |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | — | BYU $297 | BYU $355 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $459 | Pelicans $96 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | — | Texas A&M $23 | Texas A&M $524 |
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes same side · consensus Hurricanes | — | Kraken $41 | Kraken $51 |