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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465esticamosFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)54% (144–122, n=266)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$16K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344was PM monthly #980PM monthly #21PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (11 of 16 open)0% (0 of 1 open)65% (204 of 314 open)67% (101 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +3 pts n=79, ROI −1%
  • MMA +12 pts n=21, ROI +5%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Tennis −1 pts, n=130Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%68% of 239 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)19% (won 18% of 45)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)9% (won 52% of 21)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)14% (won 59% of 34)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)58% (won 89% of 139)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465esticamosFlaznorpRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31KIgnacio Buse $90Daniil Medvedev $5.5KDaniil Medvedev $36K
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic $9.6K—Novak Djokovic $4.0KNovak Djokovic $18K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $5.2KNo $808
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Franco Agamenone
——Franco Agamenone $239Ignacio Monzon $2.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $317No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $769Yes $291
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $213No $677
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $357——Under $32
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $26No $15
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $39KUnder $45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $15KYes $12K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $19KNo $4.4K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $5.1KOver $7.9K
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $3.0KMatej Dodig $9.0K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Olympiakós SFP $11KOlympiakós SFP $109
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $9.3KYes $390
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7.6KUnder $1.5K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.1KNo $1.5K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.0KUnder $1.2K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.7KUnder $3.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $2.2KNo $57
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $727—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $42No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $77676ers $240
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $768No $31
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $720Under $20
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $645Under $56
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $505Over $158
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $601Under $9
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
——Ignacio Parisca $298Ignacio Parisca $296
Olympiakós SFP leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $549No $3
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
——Nuno Borges $267Nuno Borges $125
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $170Under $119
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $40Under $238
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $81
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $168Under $63
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Olympiakós SFP $97Olympiakós SFP $104
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $10Yes $162
W50 Heraklion: Victoria Allen vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
——Elena Ruxandra Bertea $19Elena Ruxandra Bertea $97
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $78Over $19