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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465auros2ndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)76% (38–12, n=50)63% (1100–635, n=1735)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$11K$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #268PM monthly #109PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)63% (163 of 258 open)71% (67 of 95 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—NFL −7 pts, n=158Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—13% (won 14% of 196)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)—18% (won 40% of 283)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)—23% (won 58% of 348)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)—46% (won 94% of 710)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465auros2ndb1S-Works
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $83KYes $187——
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $8No $82K—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $17Yes $64K—
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KNo $613——
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $77No $703—
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $183Yes $468—
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $243No $296—
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $237Yes $176—
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $188Yes $220—
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $48Yes $359—
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $289Yes $59—
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $302No $2—
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $287No $11—
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $235No $3—
Will Fenerbahçe reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $151No $27—
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $60No $62—
Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $108Yes $6—
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $23No $38—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17No $35——
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $36No $7—
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $16No $10—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $52No $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $165Yes $12K—
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $33No $7.3K—
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22Yes $5.8K—
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $165No $2.8K—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $145—
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $693No $472—
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $167Yes $639—
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $20Yes $705—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9Yes $571—
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $210Yes $308—
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $457No $4—
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $255Yes $190—
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $23Yes $420—
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $224Yes $171—
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $80No $287—
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $20Yes $332—
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $280No $6—
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $186No $6—
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $74—
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $115Yes $52—
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $59Yes $38—
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $80Yes $12—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $54Yes $20—
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $55Yes $4—