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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)57% (11007–8361, n=19368)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$19K$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #979PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus46% (12 of 26 open)62% (64 of 103 open)57% (40 of 70 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 1676 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)3% (won 100% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)12% (won 100% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)26% (won 100% of 443)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)58% (won 100% of 973)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XRN1S-Works
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $2.9KTomas Etcheverry $58Max Dahlin $1.9K—
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $44KClement Tabur $29Clement Tabur $25K—
Wizards vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.6KPistons $48Pistons $201—
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini
opposite sides · consensus Luisina Giovannini
Tatjana Maria $14K—Luisina Giovannini $51K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.2KNo $231——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $66No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $46Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $54Over $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $85Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $39Under $1.1K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $60Cavaliers $708—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $106Over $36—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $59Yes $60—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $298Over $3.0K—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $20Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $10Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $63Under $1.4K—
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
same side · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Max Houkes $1—Max Houkes $698—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $116No $524—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $64Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $21Lakers $485—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $38Lakers $416—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $52Over $360—
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $36Over $356—
Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $17Over $352—
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Pistons $18Pistons $248—
Missouri State Bears vs. Wyoming Cowboys (W)
same side · consensus Missouri State Bears
—Missouri State Bears $3Missouri State Bears $248—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $57Pelicans $158—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $13Warriors $125—
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $11Under $114—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $81Yes $7—
Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $35Under $42——
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)
same side · consensus Duke Blue Devils
—Duke Blue Devils $29Duke Blue Devils $43—
Sopo: Tamara Zidansek vs Julia Grabher
same side · consensus Tamara Zidansek
—Tamara Zidansek $16Tamara Zidansek $49—