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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)65% (886–468, n=1354)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21PM monthly #145PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)66% (210 of 318 open)73% (33 of 45 open)70% (126 of 181 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $6.3KLearner Tien $11K—Learner Tien $16K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maya Joint
Maya Joint $469Maria Sakkari $3.0K—Maya Joint $12K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $52K—Over $5.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.1K—No $3.3K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.3K—Over $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $2.6K—Ignacio Buse $414
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $210—Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $210—No $663
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Tena Lukas $2—Pia Lovric $250
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $47—Over $48
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $16K—Lorenzo Musetti $50K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39K—Under $45
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $26K—No $10K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $17K—Under $6.0K
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Buriram United
—Buriram United $13K—Buriram United $2.9K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.1K—Over $7.8K
Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.4K—No $3.9K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.9K—Under $1.9K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.1K—Under $1.5K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.1K—No $1.5K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Under $4.4K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $4.1K—No $1.5K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
—Jeline Vandromme $4.3K—Jeline Vandromme $679
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1K—Under $2.2K
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
—Samuele Pieri $2.1K—Samuele Pieri $1.6K
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
—Gina Feistel $1.6K—Gina Feistel $1.7K
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $190—Martyna Kubka $2.4K
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $727——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
Kashima Antlers leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $237
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $784—76ers $243
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
—Henri Haupt $864—Henri Haupt $54
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
same side · consensus Iliyan Radulov
—Iliyan Radulov $139—Iliyan Radulov $612
Exact Score: Buriram United 0 - 0 Kashima Antlers?
same side · consensus No
—No $474—No $272
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $645—Under $56
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Ignacio Parisca
—Ignacio Parisca $320—Ignacio Parisca $302
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $563—Under $23
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
—Leonid Sheyngezikht $140—Leonid Sheyngezikht $384
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
—Pavlos Tsitsipas $456—Pavlos Tsitsipas $11
Spread: Buriram United (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kashima Antlers
—Kashima Antlers $234—Kashima Antlers $167