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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1zxc368
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$14.8M—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21PM monthly #25 + pinnedwas PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)64% (222 of 346 open)65% (117 of 179 open)78% (31 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Crypto ±0 pts, n=292
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%99% of 10530 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)1% (won 15% of 85)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)0% (won 67% of 18)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)0% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)99% (won 100% of 10417)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

53 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1zxc368
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $13KAlex de Minaur $7.4KTomas Etcheverry $56K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $4.0KNo $223—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.7KJoanna Garland $5.3K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.1KNo $3.3K—
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Franco Agamenone
—Franco Agamenone $218Ignacio Monzon $5.0K—
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.9KUnder $321
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—
Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $20Yes $3.3K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.1KOver $37—
Spread: AS Saint-Étienne (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AS Saint-Étienne
——Montpellier HSC $694AS Saint-Étienne $2.3K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.9KNo $2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317No $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $863Yes $265—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529—
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $676No $210
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $210No $663—
Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $104Yes $765
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $223Hawks $406—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $353—Under $31—
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Tena Lukas $2Pia Lovric $250—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $125Trail Blazers $99—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26No $23—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $20KLorenzo Musetti $53K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39KUnder $45—
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $17KOlympiakós SFP $109—
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
—Novak Djokovic $4.0KNovak Djokovic $9.8K—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.1KOver $7.8K—
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $3.0KMatej Dodig $9.6K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9.2KYes $393—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.7KUnder $1.5K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.1KNo $1.5K—
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4.7KYes $791
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $576—
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $727——
FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $747Over $819
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.5KUnder $15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1K—
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-09-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.0KNo $5
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $78476ers $243—
Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $245Under $731
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $938No $25
FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $930Over $22
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
—Henri Haupt $868Henri Haupt $54—
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $800No $12
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—