PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lilblossom00gringo00RN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (6–2, n=8)48% (11892–12700, n=24592)50% (13408–13562, n=26970)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #886was PM monthly #19PM monthly #17 + pinnedPM monthly #13
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position59% (91 of 154 open)51% (28 of 55 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—0%22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8705)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketlilblossom00gringo00RN1omnibus-076daa
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $16KYes $51K
Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Alex de Minaur
——Alex de Minaur $26KLearner Tien $26K
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MIBR
——MIBR $3.5KInner Circle Esports $33K
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MIBR
——MIBR $17KInner Circle Esports $38
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $10KYes $152
Guayaquil: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez
opposite sides · consensus Alex Hernandez
——Alex Hernandez $5.4KAlvaro Guillen Meza $99
W75 Toronto: Carson Tanguilig vs Jule Niemeier
opposite sides · consensus Carson Tanguilig
——Jule Niemeier $92Carson Tanguilig $2.8K
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $789Over $5
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Magdeburg
——1. FC Magdeburg $23FC Bayern München $468
Will Harrogate Town AFC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $126No $243
M25 Norman, OK: Theo Papamalamis vs Alex Rybakov
opposite sides · consensus Theo Papamalamis
——Alex Rybakov $100Theo Papamalamis $141
Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $51Under $58
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Bayern München
——1. FC Magdeburg $5FC Bayern München $35
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $23KNo $81
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $7.4KYes $4.6K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $8.5KNo $83
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)
same side · consensus 1. FC Magdeburg
——1. FC Magdeburg $1.6K1. FC Magdeburg $1.1K
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.2KNo $84
Will Fulham FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $69
Fulham FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $761Under $172
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $334No $4
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $131Under $101
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $104Yes $15
Aberdeen FC vs. Falkirk FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $58Under $49
Brighton & Hove Albion FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $103Yes $3
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $6Yes $36
Celtic FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $15Over $10