Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner

4 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold MIBR (44%) · MIBR at 100¢ · $31K held · ends Oct 28

Inner Circle Esports<1¢MIBR>99¢Ends Wed, Oct 28, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

MIBR

Consensus Traders

MIBR 44%

Total Value

$30.7K

Combined PnL

$2.7K

Smart Money Entry

72¢ → 100¢

+39% since entry · 4 traders

Research grade

NeutralMIBR at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

MIBR

4 of 9 top traders (44%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Inner Circle Esports0%

MIBR100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

MIBR4 traders

Total Value$25.3K

Total Shares25,913

Combined PnL+$4.2K

Inner Circle Esports5 traders

Total Value$5.5K

Total Shares15,391

Combined PnL$-1.5K

MIBR — 44%Inner Circle Esports — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	MIBRavg 69.1¢	$12.4K	$17.1K	+$4.7K	54% 55742-47837 (103579)
PN pnhct	MIBRavg 70.8¢	$3.6K	$4.3K	+$649.96	54% 461-398 (859)
A8 a8999CTR	Inner Circle Esportsavg 38¢	$2.3K	$2.7K	+$420	44% 1074-1367 (2441)
II iii252CTR	Inner Circle Esportsavg 26.1¢	$4.5K	$2.7K	$-1.8K	57% 1103-849 (1952)
AA aaaa298	MIBRavg 94.8¢	$3.4K	$2.1K	$-1.3K	59% 755-535 (1290)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	MIBRavg 78.2¢	$1.7K	$1.8K	+$83.21	52% 13570-12415 (25985)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Inner Circle Esportsavg 33¢	$38.86	$38.27	-$0.59	49% 18625-19055 (37680)
TO TommyLeePeecaCTR<$100	Inner Circle Esportsavg 20.6¢	$86.67	$24.07	-$62.6	54% 1059-903 (1962)
poshposhCTR<$100	Inner Circle Esportsavg 2¢	$3.36	$0.08	-$3.28	60% 9402-6388 (15790)

RN1

MIBR

Invested

$12,353.85

Value

$17.1K

PnL

+$4.7K

Record

54%

55742-47837 (103579)

pnhct

MIBR

Invested

$3,647.83

Value

$4.3K

PnL

+$649.96

Record

54%

461-398 (859)

a8999CTR

Inner Circle Esports

Invested

$2,280

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$420

Record

44%

1074-1367 (2441)

iii252CTR

Inner Circle Esports

Invested

$4,525.15

Value

$2.7K

PnL

$-1.8K

Record

57%

1103-849 (1952)

aaaa298

MIBR

Invested

$3,396.14

Value

$2.1K

PnL

$-1.3K

Record

59%

755-535 (1290)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

MIBR

Invested

$1,693.53

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$83.21

Record

52%

13570-12415 (25985)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Inner Circle Esports

Invested

$38.86

Value

$38.27

PnL

-$0.59

Record

49%

18625-19055 (37680)

TommyLeePeecaCTR<$100

Inner Circle Esports

Invested

$86.67

Value

$24.07

PnL

-$62.6

Record

54%

1059-903 (1962)

poshposhCTR<$100

Inner Circle Esports

Invested

$3.36

Value

$0.08

PnL

-$3.28

Record

60%

9402-6388 (15790)

Research grade

NeutralMIBR at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

MIBR

4 of 9 top traders (44%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that MIBR wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.