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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)48% (617–662, n=1279)no settled market53% (472–417, n=889)
Consensus PnL$549K—$399K
Tracked asPM monthly #18was PM monthly #568PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensus48% (25 of 52 open)0% (0 of 2 open)40% (32 of 80 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%—74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 23)—12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 100% of 145)—23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 219)—44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 35)—20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000nigiri99
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
Kayla Harrison $9.4K—Amanda Nunes $5.4K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
Utah $11K—Arizona $2.5K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
Islanders $11K—Ducks $573
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
Wyoming $100—UTEP $4.0K
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
Santa Clara Broncos $3.0K—New Mexico Lobos $182
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
Islanders $1.6K—Ducks $1.3K
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
North Dakota Fighting Hawks $10—Montana Grizzlies $210
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Kings $55—Flames $156
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
LSU $30—Texas $145
Spread: Flames (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $40—Flames $31
Texas vs. LSU
same side · consensus LSU
Texas $69K—Texas $584
UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Caio Borralho
Caio Borralho $22K—Caio Borralho $24K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $17K—Over $614
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
Texas $16K—Texas $134
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus UTSA
North Texas $8.5K—North Texas $1.4K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
Arkansas $7.3K—Arkansas $2.5K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $3.3K—Texas Tech $5.0K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4.4K—Over $201
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $174—Over $1.7K
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3—Over $1.7K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $525—Under $712
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7—Over $345
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
same side · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Nitin Kumar Sinha $126—Nitin Kumar Sinha $182