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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000nigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)48% (641–685, n=1326)100% (1–0, n=1)53% (498–446, n=944)55% (12–10, n=22)
Consensus PnL$564K$18K$664K$91K
Tracked asPM monthly #18was PM monthly #568PM monthly #75was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus54% (22 of 41 open)0% (0 of 15 open)41% (28 of 68 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%—74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 23)—12% (won 40% of 83)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 100% of 145)—23% (won 65% of 158)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 219)—44% (won 77% of 300)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 35)—20% (won 99% of 135)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighLlamaLoco0000nigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
Kayla Harrison $9.4K—Amanda Nunes $68K—
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
Islanders $15K—Ducks $592—
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
Utah $9.7K—Arizona $2.4K—
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $7—Flames $10K—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
Santa Clara Broncos $3.1K—New Mexico Lobos $616—
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
Wyoming $91—UTEP $2.7K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
Islanders $1.6K—Ducks $578—
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Kings $50—Flames $156—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $19K—Over $677—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $3.3K—Texas Tech $5.9K—
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
North Texas $2.2K—North Texas $541—
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4—Over $1.1K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $843—Over $183—
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $11—Over $509—
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
same side · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Nitin Kumar Sinha $157—Nitin Kumar Sinha $49—